Finance1 min read

Dalal Street Week Ahead: Nifty bulls come back to life, but 25,000–25,200 zone poses next test

By · Published by Everything Blog

In short

The index successfully recovered above its 50-week and 100-week moving averages, reinforced by a positive weekly MACD crossover and an RSI standing at 60.96. Ahead lies a significant test between 25,000 and 25,200, which requires a decisive breakout to drive further gains toward previous peaks. Meanwhile, trading operations will be compressed by a market holiday on Tuesday, November 10, following the Sunday Muhurat trading session.

Key points

  • The broader market faces potential consolidation or a measured retracement after becoming…: The broader market faces potential consolidation or a measured retracement after becoming overextended near the 25,000–25,200 resistance zone.
  • FMCG, Financial Services, PSE, and Infrastructure indices have advanced into the improvin…: FMCG, Financial Services, PSE, and Infrastructure indices have advanced into the improving quadrant relative to the Nifty 500.
  • Broader market outperformance may be hindered by the Nifty MidCap 100, Auto, and Metal in…: Broader market outperformance may be hindered by the Nifty MidCap 100, Auto, and Metal indices, which remain positioned to lag.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

The markets have witnessed a significant improvement in their technical structure following the sharp rebound from the important long-term support zone near 22,700–22,800. The Nifty has reclaimed its 50-week and 100-week moving averages, currently placed at 24,280 and 24,317, respectively, and has closed near the upper Bollinger Band. However, the sheer magnitude and velocity of the recent advance have left the Index somewhat overextended in the immediate term. While the strong upward thrust has materially improved the near-term outlook, the Nifty is now approaching a broader resistance zone around 25,000–25,200. A sustained move above this area would be required to extend the rally towards the previous major highs. However, some consolidation or a measured retracement can be expected. Such a consolidation is both healthy and desirable to absorb the recent gains and prevent the advance from becoming technically unsustainable.

The coming week is likely to see a stable start, with the customary one-hour Muhurat trading session scheduled for Sunday, November 8. The trading holiday on Tuesday, November 10, will make this a truncated week. Given the sharp rise already witnessed,…

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