Finance1 min read

Copper falls for 4th day, heads for worst week since March on AI rout

By · Published by Everything Blog

In short

Industrial metals tracked lower across the board as tech-driven regulatory concerns prompted widespread market liquidations. However, physical availability remains acutely restricted abroad, with contracts for prompt delivery commanding substantial premiums over longer-dated futures across major exchanges. Shanghai warehouse reserves have contracted to under one day of domestic consumption, which could limit further downside. Amid this broad retreat, tin stood as the solitary base metal to post gains on the day.

Key points

  • Heightened fears of strict U.S. technology regulations have weakened short-term demand ex…: Heightened fears of strict U.S. technology regulations have weakened short-term demand expectations tied to artificial intelligence infrastructure.
  • Severe physical shortages in Asia and Europe, highlighted by steep prompt delivery premiu…: Severe physical shortages in Asia and Europe, highlighted by steep prompt delivery premiums, continue to challenge the likelihood of an extended price slump.
  • Tin bucked the broader industrial metal downturn by advancing 0.9% to reach $45,890 a ton.: Tin bucked the broader industrial metal downturn by advancing 0.9% to reach $45,890 a ton.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

Benchmark three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange was down 0.8% at $13,738 a metric ton as of 1030 GMT. It earlier declined as much as 1.5% to $13,636, its lowest since July 30, but found support from its 200-day moving average.

The metal is on track for a 2.9% drop this week, which would mark its steepest weekly loss since the week ended March 20.

The weakness reflects worries over AI investment, with copper increasingly influenced by "sentiment towards data centre expansion," said Craig Lang, principal analyst at CRU.

Nasdaq futures climbed on Friday as chip stocks gained ground after a technology-led slide on fears that Democratic control of the US Congress could lead to tougher AI regulation.

Lang said he would be cautious about labelling copper's dip a sustained correction, given "ongoing mine supply challenges and exceptionally tight metal availability outside the US."

Copper stocks in Shanghai Futures Exchange warehouses fell more than 24% this week to just 33,848 tons - the lowest in almost three years and less than a day's worth of Chinese consumption.

The ShFE…

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