Business1 min read

Brickmaker’s woes deepen the UK housebuilding gloom

By · Via The Guardian Business · Published by Everything Blog

In short

Residential developers have halted expansion efforts, with firms like Berkeley Homes freezing land acquisitions and hiring across south-east England. Compounding the sector's difficulties, prospective buyers are delaying purchases until the delayed "Your First Home" scheme takes effect next April. Although ministers pledged not to introduce additional building regulations outside of safety requirements, current burdens remain in place. Consequently, analysts maintain that substantial interest rate cuts are essential if the government hopes to build 1.5 million homes this parliament.

Key points

  • Heightened interest rate expectations linked to the Iran war and flat home prices are hea…: Heightened interest rate expectations linked to the Iran war and flat home prices are heavily suppressing housing market momentum.
  • The government's new support initiative may unintentionally stall activity because transa…: The government's new support initiative may unintentionally stall activity because transaction caps and an April start date encourage buyers to wait.
  • Industry experts warn that the national target of 1.5 million homes will remain unachieva…: Industry experts warn that the national target of 1.5 million homes will remain unachievable without interest rate reductions.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

With John Healey’s Your First Home scheme on the way, is the mood improving in the housebuilding sector? A couple of the builders have results later this week, so can speak for themselves. In the meantime, though, here’s a thumping profits warning from Ibstock, the country’s biggest brickmaker, to spread a little more gloom. Demand hit a brick wall in the summer, as the company could have put it.

Industry data, said Ibstock, show UK brick market volumes down 17% year-on-year in July and August. For the whole of the third quarter, it said, sales were 22% below expectations, forcing a one-fifth cut in its production volumes versus plans set out as recently as August.

Cue an 11% fall in the share price to virtually its lowest level since the firm relisted on the stock market in 2015. Top-line earnings for the whole of 2026 will be “in the mid-£40m range” versus a figure close to £60m expected by the City.

The short moral from Ibstock’s woes is that the sector’s slowdown is pretty entrenched. Across the board, we’ve heard…

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