Politics1 min read

Arrested generals and a threatened VP: President's son fuels Ugandan succession fever

By · Published by Everything Blog

In short

Uganda's armed forces have detained at least a dozen generals and senior officers over the past 15 months, including three former military intelligence chiefs. The crackdown follows open threats by Gen Muhoozi Kainerugaba against Vice-President Jessica Alupo, whom he suggested replacing himself. The November 2 arrest of former deputy army chief Lt Gen Peter Elwelu over alleged plots to destabilize the Teso region further inflamed tensions, leading to the seizure of weapons, uniforms, and trucks. Meanwhile, the ruling party faces conflicting reports over whether its leadership supports the general's succession trajectory.

Key points

  • The detention of a dozen senior generals reflects a coordinated effort to silence militar…: The detention of a dozen senior generals reflects a coordinated effort to silence military opposition to a family succession.
  • Conflicting accounts from internal leadership meetings indicate growing political frictio…: Conflicting accounts from internal leadership meetings indicate growing political friction within the ruling National Resistance Movement.
  • Public accusations and unilateral demotions announced by the army chief demonstrate escal…: Public accusations and unilateral demotions announced by the army chief demonstrate escalating instability inside Uganda's defense establishment.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

- Published

In Uganda's military, even senior generals are finding that their rank offers little protection from the wrath of the country's powerful army chief.

Over the past 15 months, at least a dozen generals and senior officers have been arrested under Gen Muhoozi Kainerugaba, who is also the son of President Yoweri Museveni, in a crackdown that has unsettled the military's top ranks.

The arrests come amid growing political tensions over who will succeed Museveni, who has ruled Uganda for four decades.

Gen Kainerugaba, 52, is widely seen as a potential successor, although his ambitions appear to be facing resistance within the ruling party.

This week, he threatened Vice-President Jessica Alupo with dismissal and possible arrest, while suggesting he should take her position.

The ruling National Resistance Movement (NRM) has, however, rejected reports that its senior leadership had rejected a proposal to back Gen Kainerugaba as the next president, describing the claims as "completely false".

This has all fuelled speculation that the arrests are part of an effort to sideline military officers opposed to the general's presidential ambitions.

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