Business1 min read

Alphabet earnings miss reflects first real sign that AI is taking a bite out of search

By · Published by Everything Blog

In short

The company's search revenue reached roughly $63 billion, marking a second consecutive quarterly miss despite search volume climbing at its fastest rate in five years. Bottom-line performance suffered under aggressive infrastructure commitments, resulting in negative free cash flow of $9 billion. Offsetting the search drag, the cloud unit more than doubled its quarterly revenue to nearly $31 billion on rising enterprise appetite. Management reaffirmed a 2026 capital expenditure target reaching up to $205 billion, with outlays projected to expand further in 2027.

Key points

  • Alphabet's contracted cloud backlog climbed to roughly $560 billion, with more than half…: Alphabet's contracted cloud backlog climbed to roughly $560 billion, with more than half expected to be recognized within two years.
  • Capital expenditure targets for 2026 were maintained between $195 billion and $205 billio…: Capital expenditure targets for 2026 were maintained between $195 billion and $205 billion, with spending set to increase significantly in 2027.
  • Advertisers used the Gemini artificial intelligence model to generate over 1.5 billion ca…: Advertisers used the Gemini artificial intelligence model to generate over 1.5 billion campaign assets despite the broader monetization challenges.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

In Alphabet's across-the-board earnings miss, one segment stood out above all else: search.

Revenue in the search and other segment grew 12% from a year ago to roughly $63 billion, but came in below estimates for the second straight quarter. At the same time, Google said search query growth on the platform was the strongest it's been in five years.

The gap between usage and revenue within the search giant's flagship business is becoming harder to dismiss as more people turn to artificial intelligence bots and agents, including tools offered by Google. Since the early days of ChatGPT, analysts have predicted that traditional search will get eclipsed by AI, and warned that Google will have to figure out new ways to make money. While search remains a massive business, early signs of a shift are appearing.

"These things are going to be a force," Deepwater Asset Management's Gene Munster told CNBC's "Fast Money" after the earnings report, referring to new AI-powered services. Munster said that if "personalized bots" take off, "that will become for a lot of people the starting…

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