Artificial Intelligence1 min read

AI build-out hits snag as Google and Microsoft put off raising capex forecasts

By · Published by Everything Blog

In short

Microsoft lowered its annual capex projection to $170 billion, while Alphabet held its forecast flat following third-party delivery delays that squeezed its quarterly cash flow. Outside GPU and cloud suppliers faced setbacks that will postpone some planned capacity rollouts into the first half of 2027. This deceleration rattled specialized neocloud vendors, who are struggling to secure expansion debt amid cautious lenders and higher interest rates. Even with these hiccups, overall hyperscaler spending is projected to exceed $1 trillion next year as investments accelerate.

Key points

  • Infrastructure bottlenecks are temporarily restraining the rapid pace of artificial intel…: Infrastructure bottlenecks are temporarily restraining the rapid pace of artificial intelligence hardware deployments across the technology sector.
  • Specialized cloud suppliers face severe capital constraints as lenders pull back due to n…: Specialized cloud suppliers face severe capital constraints as lenders pull back due to non-investment-grade credit ratings and high interest rates.
  • Long-term tech infrastructure investments remain historically massive, with combined hype…: Long-term tech infrastructure investments remain historically massive, with combined hyperscaler spending projected to exceed $1 trillion next year.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

The past few quarters of hyperscaler earnings have been marked by ever-increasing capital expenditure forecasts as tech giants race to build out artificial intelligence infrastructure to meet what they describe as insatiable demand.

At least for the moment, Microsoft and Alphabet are telling a slightly different story.

In their earnings reports Wednesday, both companies shared capex figures that came up shy of analysts' estimates. Microsoft reduced its capex forecast for the year to $170 billion from $175 billion, and Alphabet held its guidance at $195 billion to $205 billion.

The numbers suggest a slowdown is nowhere in sight, but they do represent another potential point of concern for the AI build-out. Shares of neoclouds CoreWeave, Nebius and IREN all dropped after the reports, as did Oracle, which is one of the biggest spenders on AI infrastructure.

Microsoft CFO Amy Hood said on the software company's earnings call that third-party providers of graphics processing units had delays that will push out some available capacity until the first half of 2027. She didn't provide names, but Microsoft relies on CoreWeave, IREN and…

Artificial Intelligence