Facing immediate cash exhaustion, the firm has reduced its supplementary funding goal to $9 billion but has secured zero commitments for the capital. Management plans to lock in the initial $11 billion this week to stop investors from triggering cold feet clauses, while offering fresh incentives for new money. The company sits at the heart of an artificial intelligence circular financing bubble that contains clauses capable of triggering bankruptcy. Furthermore, partner firm CoreWeave is also confronting immediate cash needs without viable routes to obtain capital.
Key points
Investors are refusing to supply the emergency capital required to sustain operations for…: Investors are refusing to supply the emergency capital required to sustain operations for just a few months.
The company is rushing to finalize the initial $11 billion to prevent backers from exerci…: The company is rushing to finalize the initial $11 billion to prevent backers from exercising cold feet clauses.
A failure by OpenAI threatens to cause a market collapse that would leave data centers da…: A failure by OpenAI threatens to cause a market collapse that would leave data centers dark and crush GPU demand.
Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1
OpenAI is out of cash. It wanted to raise $30B last week but only $11b showed up. It’s now begging for an additional $9b (down from original request of $19b more) from plebs, but no one has committed anything. They want to raise money at a $1.25T valuation, while ANThropic is struggling to clear a $1.3T valuation for its IPO, and ANT is arguably worth double whatever OpenAI is worth, or more precisely OpenAI is half of ANT.
OpenAI is likely this week to lock in that $11b in commitments to prevent “cold feet clauses”, and then add incentives for the other cash it needs. Coreweave is another company that needs cash now, with no good options to raise any of it.
The AI circular financing bubble has OpenAI at the center. Instead of pretending it is worth $1T, all of the promises OpenAI has made have bankruptcy triggering clauses by the promise receivers, and under bankruptcy, selling off assets is worth less than $10b, and datacenters are dark without need for more of them, or more GPUs.
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