Recent polling indicates the Missouri ballot measure is locked in a virtual dead heat, leaving the outcome largely dependent on an undecided voting bloc. To influence the vote, PROMO Missouri launched a deep canvassing campaign designed to reach 100,000 households and hold 10,000 extended discussions. Canvassers are selectively engaging residents who oppose abortion restrictions but harbor uncertainty about transgender healthcare. By early October, the group had already recorded 6,000 of these targeted, open-ended conversations.
Key points
Missouri is one of five states addressing transgender healthcare or youth sports particip…: Missouri is one of five states addressing transgender healthcare or youth sports participation on this year's ballots.
Outreach efforts intentionally bypass entrenched partisans to target residents who oppose…: Outreach efforts intentionally bypass entrenched partisans to target residents who oppose abortion bans but hesitate on transgender rights.
The ballot measure follows 2023 state laws that banned youth gender-affirming surgeries a…: The ballot measure follows 2023 state laws that banned youth gender-affirming surgeries and placed four-year limits on new hormone prescriptions.
Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1
CREVE COEUR, Mo. — Reneé Luckfield tries not to knock like a cop.
In fact, the 29-year-old spends a lot of time thinking about how to make strangers comfortable when she shows up at their door to talk about transgender healthcare. A syncopated "tap — tap-tap-tap" sounds friendly even when she knocks loudly. In each encounter, she masks her own unease.
"Honestly, it's not something that I'm entirely comfortable with," Luckfield, a transgender woman, said while walking door to door in this affluent St. Louis suburb. "And it's not fair that we have to do this work."
Transgender issues have become a major theme in this year's midterm elections, especially in Missouri, where voters are weighing a proposed constitutional amendment to bar minors from gender-transition surgery, cross-sex hormone therapy and puberty blockers. The potential ban is part of a proposed amendment to reinstate a near-total ban on abortion in the state.
Voters in four other states will also decide on transgender issues this year: a proposed ban on transgender health care for minors in Colorado, and proposed restrictions on transgender…
A disputed effort to recruit a namesake candidate to dilute votes for incumbent Senator Dan Sullivan has intensified scrutiny over Alaska's high-stakes ranked-choice election. Federal authorities have intervened with litigation to potentially delay certification, highlighting how party ballot tactics could impact overall control of the upper chamber.
Avigdor Lieberman has halted communication with key political figures as deadlock grips the Knesset following the recent election. With both main factions falling short of a 61-seat majority, his calculated silence is designed to force other leaders to initiate negotiations for a power-sharing arrangement. This maneuver complicates coalition-building efforts to resolve the impasse without triggering another national vote.
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