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A 'demand decade' ahead for energy? BP, Baker Hughes CEOs weigh the investment outlook

By · Published by Everything Blog

In short

Energy executives at the ADIPEC conference projected sustained consumption growth but cautioned that translating these trends into financial returns faces significant hurdles. Elevated interest rates, supply chain bottlenecks, and volatile geopolitical conditions are slowing project timelines across key regions like the Persian Gulf. To mitigate these risks, infrastructure operators are prioritizing resilience through new storage, pipelines, and choke point removals. Additionally, forecasters noted that normalized Middle Eastern output could push oil markets into oversupply by 2027 and 2028.

Key points

  • Expanding power systems to satisfy artificial intelligence and electrification demands re…: Expanding power systems to satisfy artificial intelligence and electrification demands requires clearing physical supply choke points.
  • Long project lead times necessitate that oil and gas developers prepare for potential low…: Long project lead times necessitate that oil and gas developers prepare for potential lower-price operating environments.
  • Expanding computing capacity and foundational power infrastructure will likely proceed sl…: Expanding computing capacity and foundational power infrastructure will likely proceed slowly despite strong midterm demand.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

Rising energy demand is creating new investment opportunities even as geopolitical risks and uncertain oil prices challenge the industry.

Baker Hughes CEO Lorenzo Simonelli is optimistic about the longer-term outlook, pointing to AI, population growth and developing nations as factors supporting continued energy demand growth.

"I think we have a 'demand decade' ahead of us," Simonelli told CNBC's Dan Murphy on "Access Middle East" at the ADIPEC energy conference in Abu Dhabi. "We're looking at very much seeing capital investments improve and increase over time," as growing consumption will require additional infrastructure to support demand.

However, turning that demand into profitability may be a challenge.

Markus Krebber, CEO of German energy company RWE, said AI and electrification were driving electricity demand, but geopolitical tensions, supply chain pressures and higher interest rates were complicating investment decisions.

"You have huge investment opportunity, but on the other hand, a very challenging investment environment," Krebber said during a separate ADIPEC discussion. On planned expansions in computing capacity and the power needed to support them, he said "it's going to come, but it probably comes…

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