Politics1 min read

82% disapprove of Trump. So why are fewer Indian Americans identifying as Democrats?

By · Via Times of India · Published by Everything Blog

In short

Recent polling from the Carnegie Endowment, AP-NORC, and AAPI Data shows Democratic identification among Indian Americans fell from 52% in 2020 to 46% in 2026. Rather than defecting to the Republican Party, which holds a meager 19% favorability rating, voters are increasingly identifying as independents or ideological moderates. Four in ten Indian Americans now hold an unfavorable view of the Democratic Party amid concerns over its policy direction. However, this reluctance to embrace party branding has not altered ballot box choices, as nearly two-thirds still intend to back Democratic candidates in upcoming congressional races.

Key points

  • A growing number of Indian Americans are moving away from liberal branding and adopting m…: A growing number of Indian Americans are moving away from liberal branding and adopting moderate or independent labels.
  • Unpopularity for Donald Trump and the Republican Party has kept disaffected voters from f…: Unpopularity for Donald Trump and the Republican Party has kept disaffected voters from fully defecting to the GOP.
  • Discomfort with Democratic party affiliation has not yet eroded the demographic's overwhe…: Discomfort with Democratic party affiliation has not yet eroded the demographic's overwhelming support for Democratic congressional candidates.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

At an Indian restaurant in Irving, near Dallas, Democratic US Senate candidate James Talarico tried his hand at

making a masala dosa, spreading batter on a hot pan and filling it with spiced potatoes. In Connecticut, Governor Ned Lamont joined Diwali celebrations, while Republican Congressman John James visited a Swaminarayan temple in Michigan. From dosas to Diwali and temple visits, politicians from both parties are making symbolic overtures to Indian-American voters ahead of the November 3 midterms. But the community’s political allegiances are not as straightforward as those campaign gestures might suggest.

At the national level, Republicans are fighting hard to retain control of both chambers of Congress. And the odds, at least in prediction markets, are not in their favour. As of October 30, betting website Kalshi gave Democrats a 92% chance of taking control of the House of Representatives and a 69% chance of winning the Senate. Polymarket's corresponding figures were 94% and 72%.

A Reuters/Ipsos poll completed on October 26 also found Democrats leading Republicans 47% to 36% among registered voters. Losing control of either chamber, or…

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